Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 2.007092 2.298991 2.609750 2.964263 3.356504 3.776225 4.258313
2025-01-12 1.467411 1.867735 2.329393 2.896597 3.569901 4.338716 5.277780
2025-01-19 1.153747 1.615628 2.187413 2.936034 3.878088 5.011505 6.464238
2025-01-26 0.928808 1.420334 2.069126 2.967313 4.155300 5.648186 7.638250
2025-02-02 0.767747 1.273729 1.981717 3.011478 4.433386 6.287242 8.840396
2025-02-09 0.629495 1.130634 1.872118 3.001508 4.623548 6.809354 9.907634
2025-02-16 0.511454 0.994158 1.748485 2.949234 4.738486 7.224110 10.840747
2025-02-23 0.435279 0.909683 1.688507 2.977447 4.960425 7.787642 11.993020
2025-03-02 0.360645 0.812900 1.593901 2.938020 5.072178 8.192940 12.934675
2025-03-09 0.312200 0.753897 1.552083 2.973864 5.293834 8.760480 14.123313
2025-03-16 0.264758 0.687151 1.486998 2.962192 5.435728 9.211428 15.155747
2025-03-23 0.240703 0.663355 1.494969 3.072383 5.775184 9.970593 16.666771
2025-03-30 0.215000 0.632534 1.488606 3.161275 6.092800 10.722858 18.217449
2025-04-06 0.179860 0.572757 1.418825 3.130354 6.209348 11.169745 19.328229
2025-04-13 0.158323 0.540678 1.399860 3.190148 6.482373 11.874659 20.861263
2025-04-20 0.138166 0.507171 1.373020 3.231403 6.723824 12.537264 22.350799
2025-04-27 0.121446 0.478638 1.352624 3.282134 6.983085 13.237349 23.921350
2025-05-04 0.103182 0.440503 1.304982 3.272938 7.131429 13.757618 25.220343
2025-05-11 0.085137 0.397248 1.238505 3.217525 7.188823 14.124572 26.280945
2025-05-18 0.074102 0.373208 1.214450 3.248061 7.407256 14.771233 27.815322
2025-05-25 0.061487 0.339109 1.159592 3.205892 7.482200 15.170846 28.951801
2025-06-01 0.053864 0.320718 1.142388 3.244391 7.713997 15.849535 30.568947
2025-06-08 0.045530 0.296163 1.104524 3.231894 7.842862 16.349391 31.898134